For the first time the ONS has published victim-based estimates of fraud and cyber crime for England and Wales, suggesting that together they are almost as common as all other types of crime against the person put together. In this blog we explore how fraud and cyber crime are affecting different sections of the population compared to more traditional crimes.
read moreIn a recent blog we introduced binary regression models as a method for predicting the probability of a binary outcome. Here, we examine some methods for assessing the performance of these models together with strategies for improving them.
read moreThe impact of an EU exit on jobs and employment within the UK has been a major topic of discussion in the run up to the referendum. Following on from our recent article about the movement of people within the EU, in this post we take a closer look at migrants in the UK in order to understand how they are represented across the nation’s workforce.
read moreIn our latest blog on the EU referendum we look at fitting a model to the opinion poll results published in the run up to June 23rd. The model highlights how polling companies and practices influence the results and concludes that as of May 24th the probability of the UK remaining in the EU is about 68%.
read moreContinuing our EU referendum theme, we've looked at UK monthly trade statistics from HMRC to find out who are our key trading partners and what we trade in. Being a member of the European Single Market is a key point in the debate as to whether or not we should remain in the EU. This blog quantifies how much of our trade is within the EU and how much is with the rest of the World.
read moreIn the second of our series of blog posts on the EU referendum, we've focussed on the EU's budget to find out how much being a member of the EU costs the UK. The key question is whether a member state is a net contributor or beneficiary of the EU. Of course, there are also lots of other costs and benefits of being a member of the EU that are not recorded in its budget, but these are a lot harder to quantify!
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